Sunday 4 March 2018

2018 Oscars Predictions Results


Overall, I scored a respectable 19 out of 24, which is much better than my score (14?) last year. I’m still stinging over the results of Best Picture, as I struggle to see how it will age over the test of time, but we’re moving on. As always, the essentially 4 hour production is too long and the Academy will not change that. I just wish they would stop blaming speeches for going over- rather than all the filler they insert instead.
See below for the order of the night…      


Best Supporting Actor:

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

No surprise, hopefully Dafoe gets something besides an honourary award before he dies.


Best Costume Design:

Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Victoria & Abdul

The movie about the tailor is going to win, right? Bingo.


Best Make Up and Hair Design:

Darkest Hour
Victoria & Abdul
Wonder

Not to be confused with Best Actor. Bingo.


Best Documentary:

Abacus: Small Enough to Jail
Faces Places
Icarus
Last Men in Aleppo
Strong Island

The Star Wars kamikaze is very supportive of Greta Gerwig…
What do I know? Does Icarus’ win connect to Trump somehow?

Nice song by Mary J. Blige, but as Kimmel says, these performances are a part of what makes the Oscars so grueling. Anybody else notice how the commercials just cut off the ending of the song? YOUR boredom is expendable, advertiser’s time is not.

In one of the montages, did they really show an image of Anton Yelchin alongside Shawshank Redemption saying that hope is a thing that can never die?

Best Sound Editing:

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

The dude from Baby Driver continues to not impress me. But Dunkirk it is!


Best Sound Mixing:

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

See above. Did the coworker to that presenter really giggle when his speech talked about loving his wife so much?


Best Production Design:

Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water

I love it when a stand up comedian takes the mike. They’re tanks- even if the material is weak!
Hopefully Blade Runner wins something.
Cool short sleeves and sunglasses and tennis shoes, boss!

Had no idea Gael Garcia Bernal could sing- as well as act and be gorgeous!


Best Foreign Film:

A Fantastic Woman
The Insult
Loveless
On Body and Soul
The Square

Painful introduction to the category by whats her name.
Good guess!
I still want to see the Square though…


Best Supporting Actress:

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Painful montage leading up to the award, another reason the Oscars are so grueling.
Is Mary J. Blige a Method Man actress?
Bummer it wasn’t Laurie Metcalf.

Way to give credit to the Academy for voting for you.

Best Animated Short:

Dear Basketball
Garden Party
Lou
Negative Space
Revolting Rhymes

Painful introduction! Can you believe that BB-8 is not really there?
Kobe pointing out players shouldn’t just shut up and dribble, I feel bad for that idiot (not) journalist who said that about LeBron James.
More painful dialogue, no wonder the Oscars hate Star Wars.

Best Animated:

The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent

Nice speeches, but an even more lovely performance by Sufjan Stevens.

Best Visual Effects:

Blade Runner 2049
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.2
Kong: Skull Island
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War For the Planet of the Apes

One of those ones where I’m glad I guessed wrong.


Best Editing:

Baby Driver
Dunkirk
I, Tonya
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

A tough call! I’m not surprised but Joel Edgar Wright is a genius in the editing room who couldn’t compete with the Academy’s love for war movies.

A fascinating but painful trip to the theatre across the street. Thank you for the commercial break.
Similar to last year’s Oscars, Kimmel’s street antics bring the actual Oscars to a grinding halt.

Painful introduction to next award- no shoes hey!

Best Documentary Short:

Edith+Eddie
Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405
Heroin(e)
Knife Skills
Traffic Stop

I certainly guess well!


Best Short:

DeKalb Elementary
The Eleven O'Clock
My Nephew Emmett
The Silent Child
Watu Wote/All of Us


Nice man bun.

Interesting montage about #timesup, does this impact Best Picture at all???


Best Adapted Screenplay:

Call Me by Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Logan
Molly's Game
Mudbound

Surprised its his first Oscar at 89 years of age, but better late than never.

Best Original Screenplay:

The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

It’s in! Will this lead to Best Picture.

“I thought nobody would make this movie.” Bravo.


Best Cinematography:

Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water

Well done Roger! There is justice in the world.


Best Musical Score:

Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

It doesn’t really match the tone of the movie, but congrats!

Best Original Song:

“Mighty River,” Mudboundwwwq
“Mystery Of Love,” Call Me by Your Name
“Remember Me,” Coco
“Stand Up For Something,” Marshall
“This Is Me,” The Greatest Showman

As predicted.


Best Director:

Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water

Hollywood loves to celebrate itself.


Best Actor:

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

The ladies remind me of Casey Afflec...

Equal parts bombast, make up, and lifetime achievement award, nets Oldman his first Oscar.

Best Actress:

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post

Sorry ladies, you never had a chance to Frances. I just hope it dates as well as 96’s Fargo win.

Quite the speech, Inclusion Rider.


Best Picture:

Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

Beatty and Dunaway, indeed what could go wrong?!?!

Ugh. With its 13 nominations (and winner of the Director’s Guild Awards, The Producer’s Guild Awards, and Editor’s Guild Awards), it appears the Academy went with the traditional favourite. It’s a bummer, as I struggle to feel about how this movie will be remembered in 10 years. Will it be closer to Moonlight- or The Artist? I’m leaning towards the latter.

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