Monday 25 February 2019

2019 Oscars Predictions Results


Results and Live Journal
I’m watching with the partner, so some Red Carpet fluff- interesting watching Trevor Noah remove the power and authority from a sycophant when he was being interviewed. Just hate to let YOU go, after you tried to let me go… Great stuff.

No host hey? So we start with…?
Queen. Minus their incendiary frontman, it’s easy to see why Christian Bale is so unmoved. Still, used to be an awesome band.

Movies are great montage (“Look Bumblebee!”). THIS is why the Oscars are too long.

Maya Rudolph, Tina Fey, and Amy Poehler. I was thinking those 3 ladies could function as de facto hosts- before they ran an extended bit about how they’re NOT hosting, but if they WERE hosting, it would look like THIS… Maybe the Academy will realize how badly they screwed up and have them next year.

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, Vice
Marina de Tavira, Roma
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

Well deserved, she was amazing.
No jetski competition, so back to long rambling speeches.

Best Documentary

Free Solo
Hale Country This Morning, This Evening
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons
RBG

Guess it’s not as important as Acting awards, so played off the stage. There’s 5 people up there!

Tom Morello sighting! “you sold out man!” I guess Vice would be the most appropriate thing to speak for.

Best Make Up

Göran Lundström and Pamela Goldammer, Border
Jenny Shircore, Marc Pilcher, and Jessica Brooks, Mary Queen of Scots
Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe and Patricia Dehaney, Vice

Greg’s won 4 times and this is how awkward you are at speeches?!?! Worst of the night.

Best Costume Design

I guess we’re honouring the Favourite even if it doesn’t win?!?!?!? McCarthy is such a gifted comedian…

Mary Zophres, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Ruth Carter, Black Panther
Sandy Powell, The Favourite
Sandy Powell, Mary Poppins Returns
Alexandra Byrne, Mary Queen of Scots

Wow, the Oscars did it! They voted for something progressive!

Best Production Design

Hannah Beachler and Jay Hart, Black Panther
Fiona Crombie and Alice Felton, The Favourite
Nathan Crowley and Kathy Lucas, First Man
John Myhre and Gordon Sim, Mary Poppins Returns
Eugenio Caballero and Bárbara Enríquez, Roma

Gob smacked. Some serious precedents being set here.

Best Cinematography

Lukasz Zal, Cold War
Robbie Ryan, The Favourite
Caleb Deschanel, Never Look Away
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Matthew Libatique, A Star Is Born

Can I finally comment how remarkable it is that a director is winning the award for cinematography? You go boy.

Best Sound Editing

Benjamin A. Burtt and Steve Boeddeker, Black Panther
John Warhurst and Nina Hartstone, Bohemian Rhapsody
Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan, First Man
Ethan Van der Ryn and Erik Aadahl, A Quiet Place
Sergio Díaz and Skip Lievsay, Roma

Still feel that it should have gone to the more technically proficient First Man, but you know, musical biopic and all…
Yikes, not my night…

Best Sound Mixing

Steve Boeddeker, Brandon Proctor and Peter Devlin, Black Panther
Paul Massey, Tim Cavagin and John Casali, Bohemian Rhapsody
Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Ai-Ling Lee and Mary H. Ellis, First Man
Skip Lievsay, Craig Henighan and José Antonio García, Roma
Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic, Jason Ruder and Steve Morrow, A Star Is Born

Best Foreign Film

Capernaum
Cold War
Never Look Away
Roma
Shoplifters

Will this impact the sway of Best Picture? And will we be sick of Alfonso by the end of the night?
“There are no waves, there is only the ocean.” Like he’s an artist or something.

Film Editing



Barry Alexander Brown, BlacKKKlansman
John Ottman, Bohemian Rhapsody
Yorgos Mavropsaridis, The Favourite
Patrick J. Don Vito, Green Book
Hank Corwin, Vice

Why does the Academy think Rhapsody is Dunkirk? What an abomination.

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Adam Driver, BlacKKKlansman
Sam Elliot, A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Rockwell, Vice

Amazing he has 2 Oscars this quick. Remember him in Predators???

Best Animated Film

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spiderman: Into the Spider-Verse

Most entertaining Marvel film of the year…

Michael Myers and Dana Carvey aren’t, in my opinion, old. But they are when they act like they’re younger selves.
Is it Queen Night???

Best Animated Short

Animal Behaviour
Bao
Late Afternoon
One Small Step
Weekends

Good speech about nerds not hiding behind their art- tell your story.

Best Documentary Short

Black Sheep
End Game
Lifeboat
A Night at The Garden
Period. End of Sentence.

That is an impassioned speech.

Best Visual Effects

Dan DeLeeuw, Kelly Port, Russell Earl and Dan Sudick, Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Lawrence, Michael Eames, Theo Jones, and Chris Corbould, Christopher Robin
Paul Lambert, Ian Hunter, Tristan Myles, and J.D. Schwalm, First Man
Roger Guyett, Grady Cofer, Matthew E. Butler, and David Shirk, Ready Player One
Rob Bredow, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan, and Dominic Tuohy, Solo: A Star Wars Story

That’s more like it!

Most electrifying thing of the night- Bradley Cooper and Lady Gaga more electrifying than any of the other performances. So intimate, and based off of no historical true story. Is that the lesson? That the energy that was put into that story could have been more rewarded in the form of Oscars if it was based off actual historical figures? In the meantime we can watch the internet burn with speculation about these 2 hooking up.

Best Short

Detainment
Fauve
Margeurite
Mother
Skin

Original Screenplay

Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, The Favourite
Paul Schrader, First Reformed
Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, and Peter Farrelly, Green Book
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Adam McKay, Vice

Terrible. Terrible. This also greatly increases the chances of it winning Best Picture now. Bad. Not good. Bad.

Best Adapted Screenplay

 
Joel and Ethan Coen, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, and Spike Lee, BlacKKKlansman
Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk
Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, and Will Fetters, A Star Is Born

First time’s a charm for the extremely overdue Spike: Connect with your ancestors if you want power, be on the right side of history. Bonus points for uttering, “Don’t start the mother effing clock!”

Best Score

Ludwig Goransson, Black Panther
Terence Blanchard, BlacKKKlansman
Nicholas Britell, If Beale Street Could Talk
Alexandre Desplat, Isle of Dogs
Marc Shaiman, Mary Poppins Returns

More groundbreaking. Sad that Beale Street didn’t win.

Best Original Song

“All the Stars”, Black Panther
“I’ll Fight”, RBG
“The Place Where Lost Things Go”, Mary Poppins
“Shallow”, A Star Is Born
“When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings”, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

Most inevitable award of the night. Did you not see the live performance?

The show is really starting to drag at this point. Is it possible they can keep it at, or under(!) 3 hours?

Best Actor

Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

1 for 1 in his movie career, not bad! Makes me want to go watch Mr. Robot.
…”Made a film about a gay man, an immigrant”… Did you? The film is sanitized to the point where you can’t tell. Don’t want to take away from the performance.

Not fond of how they had 1 award for that segment, way to guarantee the event runs over 3 hours.

Best Actress

Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Wow! Upset territory. Glad The Favourite won something.

Nice speech, very out there and humble.

Best Director

Spike Lee, BlacKKKlansman
Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
Adam McKay, Vice

Yay! That’s 3 wins for that bugger. He deserves it. However… is this how the Academy splits the vote for Best Picture? “I’m scared of Netflix”…

Best Picture


Black Panther
BlacKKKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
A Star Is Born
Vice

Ouch. Just ouch. This will date poorly. Notice the lecture about equality, similar to the perversion that is 2005’s Crash.  Also- notice the lack of thanks to Paul Shirley’s family, while Tony’s is up on the stage. Forget the back seat- they’re in the trunk.
Is this worse than LAST year’s movie about fish fucking? Going with yes, as that was technically accomplished at least. Look, it’s my 7th ranked favourite of the 8 film lineup, so it’s tough to take. There’s always next year.

15/24
Tied for my worst of all time. Yes, the Oscars can be unpredictable. But they’re also guilty of embarrassing themselves.

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